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What a month! March 2019 may go down as a pivotal time in automotive history as auto industry consolidation talk strengthens anew.

The news is coming from all corners of the globe as multiple players talk, while others forge alliances. Consolidation certainly isn’t anything new, but the future absolutely points to a host of mergers and alliances taking shape.

2019 Ford Ranger — Volkswagen and Ford are forging a pact that might lead to a Ranger-based pickup truck for VW.

Ford, Volkswagen Tie One On

Heading the alliance news this month is a not-yet-signed agreement between Ford and Volkswagen. According to Reuters, the two automotive giants have been in talks for months and appear ready to sign a pact.

That agreement may involve Volkswagen purchasing a stake in Argo AI, which is Ford’s artificial intelligence company. Argo AI represents the blue oval’s autonomous vehicle and artificial intelligence aspirations, a company launched in 2016. Volkswagen doesn’t have an equivalent business, thus investing in Ford’s venture would give it instant access to AI.

At the same time, Ford appears ready to supply Volkswagen with a pickup truck. The German automaker doesn’t have a model for the American market, though its car-based Amarok is sold in multiple markets. Although the type of truck has not yet been identified, we believe a model closely based on the midsize Ford Ranger pickup truck seems likely.

Daimler, Geely Go Beyond Ride-Hailing

Daimler and Geely are expected to soon sign an agreement which would allow the Chinese automaker to purchase a 50-percent stake in Daimler’s Smart small-car brand. Smart has been languishing for years and talk of the brand’s demise emerged just this week.

But Smart may find new life yet as an electric car manufacturer with the Chinese market its main source. The Financial Times reports that an announcement will be confirmed at the Shanghai Auto Show in April.

The two manufacturers are no strangers, although Daimler’s Mercedes-Benz and Geely’s Volvo brands are direct competitors. In 2018, the two companies joined forces to form a China-based ride-hailing company reports CNN.

A Suitor for FCA

The late Fiat Chrysler executive Sergio Marchionne fashioned one of the most unlikely alliances earlier this decade as he married a pair of Italian and American automakers, but he was never satisfied that it would last apart from further consolidation.

Indeed, Marchionne was one of the earlier proponents of global consolidation, noting as far back as in 2009 that there would be “six survivors in the global volume sector.” Marchionne stated his viewpoint during the midst of a worldwide downturn in auto sales that nearly sunk Chrysler and GM and put other manufacturers in jeopardy.

See Also — Auto Industry Buzzword: Collaboration

Marchionne passed away in 2018, but the spirit of FCA consolidation lives on. Notably, in the past few weeks, we have heard that both France’s PSA Groupe (Peugeot, Citroën, Opel, et al) and the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance seems interested in acquiring FCA. Jeep and Ram are FCA’s two strongest and most profitable brands and are the top prizes here. At the same time, a merger or an alliance might help FCA improve its performance in Asia, especially in China where it is particularly weak.

But these two possible companies/alliances aren’t the only ones interested in FCA. Several years back the Volkswagen Group targeted Fiat Chrysler, but its overtures were rebuffed. More recently, Hyundai expressed its own interest in the company, but it wasn’t planning to make a move until after FCA’s share values fell.

Limited Agreement Auto Trends

While further consolidation seems likely, more limited agreements between competing manufacturers will continue to emerge.

One of the results of this kind of agreement brought the Toyota Supra back to the market. The Supra’s return comes thanks to an agreement between Toyota and BMW, as the former used the latter’s Z4 platform to build its sports car. Toyota has also worked with Subaru to produce its 86 sports car, and may continue that pact for a new generation model.

Toyota, thanks to its size and deep pockets, may yet avoid the entire alliance and consolidation trend. With stakes in Daihatsu, Suzuki, Subaru, and Mazda, the company can turn to its partners to supply vehicles it doesn’t have. Further, it may work with its associated companies to spread development costs as needed without ceding control.

Sales setback is temporary with some surprises thrown in.

US auto sales fell by 6.1 percent last month, but the end is hardly near. Instead, the industry counted two fewer selling days for May, accounting for much of the loss for the month.

2015 Ford F-150

Ford F-150 sales rose in by 9 percent in May.

US Manufacturers: Only FCA Rises

As expected, Fiat Chrysler sales rose by 1.1 percent, largely on the strength of its Chrysler Town & Country and Dodge Grand Caravan minivan models. Jeep was another positive spot and was the only Fiat Chrysler brand other than Alfa Romeo to post gains for the month.

Some manufacturers such as GM posted larger losses than expected. GM sales fell by 18 percent, while Ford’s drop of 6.1 percent matched the industry’s average. GM blamed much of its decline to a reduction in fleet sales.

Had Ford maintained its sales from last month, it would have topped GM. Instead, it closed the gap to about 5,700 units, while remaining ahead of Toyota. The bright spot for Ford was once again its line of F-Series trucks. In May, Ford sold 67,412 units, up 9 percent for the month.

Hyundai Records a Strong May

Every major manufacturer outside of FCA posted losses last month, but there was a noticeable exception from the Hyundai-Kia Automotive Group — Hyundai sales rose by a robust 11.6 percent; Kia sales edged up by 0.8 percent.

“Our refreshed CUV lineup continues to exhibit strength in this market,” said Derrick Hatami, vice president of national sales for Hyundai Motor America.

2016 Subaru Forester

Forester and Outback sales continue to pace Subaru.

As for the Big 3 Japanese manufacturers, Toyota sales fell by 9.6 percent, Nissan dipped by 1 percent, and Honda sales were off by 4.8 percent. But there were some bright spots here too — Scion sales rose by 38.6 percent as Toyota continues to wind down its youth brand. Infiniti sales were also up, climbing by 3.4 percent.

BMW Group sales fell by 8.7 percent, Daimler was off by 1.9 percent, while Audi sales rose by 1.6 percent. Volkswagen Group sales fell by 9.5 percent, dragged down by Volkswagen’s 17.2 percent plunge.

Jaguar Propels JLR

Jaguar, with two new products to offer, enjoyed a 79.7 percent increase for the month. Meanwhile, Land Rover sales fell by 8 percent. Thus, JLR sales rose by 8 percent based on Jaguar’s strong month.

“We are very pleased that through five months of the year, we have increased our business for both Jaguar and Land Rover brands,” said Joe Eberhardt, President and CEO, Jaguar Land Rover, North America, LLC. “The Land Rover brand continues its momentum from a record setting 2015, and Jaguar has taken off with the expansion of the Jaguar brand into two dynamic new segments with the Jaguar XE and F-PACE which are now on sale.”

Subaru Breaks a Record…Again

While FCA now has 74 consecutive months of month-over-month gains to its credit, Subaru is not too far behind with a 54-month streak of its own in place. Last month, Subaru had its best May ever, with sales topping 50,000 units. Its Forester and Outback models helped this niche automaker realize a 1.1 percent gain for the month.

And not to be overlooked is Volvo. The Swedish automaker is enjoying a strong rebound this year, largely based on its all-new XC90 crossover utility vehicle. Volvo sales rose by 10.2 percent in May.

“Our refreshed CUV lineup continues to exhibit strength in this market,” said Derrick Hatami, vice president of national sales for Hyundai Motor America.

Crossover sales, including this Santa Fe, lifted Hyundai sales.

“With 10 percent growth for May while the overall industry is down, and now eleven months of double digit sales growth, it is a true testament to the transformation of Volvo in the US,” said Lex Kerssemakers, President and CEO, Volvo Car USA.

Mazda sales fell by 4.3 percent, Mitsubishi sales were off by 5.7 percent, and Tesla sales rose an estimated 55.3 percent according to Autodata Corp.

SAAR Still Strong

Despite the sales drop, the all-important SAAR remains strong. SAAR or the Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate takes into account fluctuations, such as a sales calendar with two fewer selling days. For May, the SAAR remains above 17 million units.

Sales data per Automotive News and the car manufacturers.

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
« May
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9	10	11	12	13	14	15
16	17	18	19	20	21	22
23	24	25	26	27	28	29
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